Another year, another round of the usual Oscar theatrics-- pundits have been complaining for months now about how predictable the Academy is, as they always do, and today they're acting stunned by the few surprises that popped up in the
nominations, as they always do. The list is pretty close to what most folks expected, with a few little surprises thrown in for good measure. Anyway, here are my predictions and reactions:
Best Picture
Who will win: Little Miss Sunshine
Who should win: The New World, though it wasn't even nominated. Of these choices, Babel is my favorite, with The Queen not far behind. Sunshine might actually be the weakest film here, though I do like it, and haven't seen Letters from Iwo Jima yet.
Best Director
Who will win: Scorsese... more for career achievement than this particular film.
Who should win: Well, Terrence Malick should win, but of these nominations I'd give it to Inarritu. I'll be very happy if Scorsese wins, though... he really has it coming, for Taxi Driver and Raging Bull as much as for The Departed.
Best Actor
Who will win: This is the toughest category to call, but I think it'll got to Forrest Whitaker, even though many critics are saying his role is more Supporting than Lead.
Who should win: Tommy Lee Jones. Of these nominations, probably Peter O'Toole.
Best Actress
Who will win: Helen Mirren.
Who should win: Helen Mirren.
Best Supporting Actor
Who will win: This one's a little tough as well, but I think Alan Arkin will win for Little Miss Sunshine.
Who should win: Michael Sheen for The Queen. Of the nominations, I wouldn't mind Arkin winning, though it would be pretty cool to see Whalberg get it, too...
Best Supporting Actress
Who will win: Jennifer Hudson
Who shoud win: Either of the women from Babel. They're both incredible.
Best Original Screenplay
Who will win: Little Miss Sunshine... especially if it ends up losing Best Picture to Babel, in which case this is almost sure to be the consolation prize.
Who should win: Babel
Best Adapted Screenplay
Who will win: The Departed is my bet, but Borat is a very real contender.
Who should win: The Departed